Major Day of Winship
You won’t normally catch me doing two things, rooting for stocks (in either direction), or patting myself on the back for making good calls. But….just as it’s always useful to slap yourself on the wrist for deviating from your trading plan, or making a bonehead mistake, reinforcing sound trading and good achievement is positive and needed at times. The past two days have been kind to a few of my major portfolio positions, the result of solid execution.
On Monday we saw $RVBD and $CMG surge past breakout levels. I’m especially happy that I didn’t panic after hours in the $BWLD carnage and dump $CMG.
Tuesday saw the beginning of a major run in $CPLA as earnings were solid and the shorts are now getting squeezed. $CTRP, a long time portfolio holding also made a move.
And Wednesday saw major wins in $DLM, $RAX, $CPLA,$LOPE and after hours $PCLN which traded as high as 131 or so.
I’ve been vigilant about cutting stocks that weren’t making moves they should have been, such as $MR, and taking profits into extended holdings like $VRX and $DLM.
Having been patient during this recent run and keeping a good deal of cash has helped. I have the confidence that if the market pulls back here between 1 and 2 % as I believe it will, I’ll start adding to my positions further. Joe Fahmy makes an excellent point when he says that you have to protect your confidence is market downturns, or markets going against your strategy in either direction. This can be done in several ways, but for me, holding a little extra cash and fewer high beta names when the market isn’t quite right is how I like to operate. Yes, the small Chinese issues have made huge moves the past few days, but in a market that hasn’t completely proven itself yet after a considerable smack, I’d rather sit those out in favor of less correlated names in the food service, education, and airline industries.
I still like big cap tech here, but the market needs to pull back and chop around for a few days to work off some short term overbought indicators. Be patient and watch for a strong bid on the next sell off. I’ll be looking to put all my chips on the table if that happens.
Leigh Drogen is the founder of Surfview Capital located in New York. Leigh runs a long / short momentum strategy which takes positions across several different asset classes.