Major Day of Winship

You won’t normally catch me doing two things, rooting for stocks (in either direction), or patting myself on the back for making good calls.  But….just as it’s always useful to slap yourself on the wrist for deviating from your trading plan, or making a bonehead mistake, reinforcing sound trading and good achievement is positive and needed at times.  The past two days have been kind to a few of my major portfolio positions, the result of solid execution.

On Monday we saw $RVBD and $CMG surge past breakout levels.  I’m especially happy that I didn’t panic after hours in the $BWLD carnage and dump $CMG.

Tuesday saw the beginning of a major run in $CPLA as earnings were solid and the shorts are now getting squeezed.  $CTRP, a long time portfolio holding also made a move.

And Wednesday saw major wins in $DLM, $RAX, $CPLA,$LOPE and after hours $PCLN which traded as high as 131 or so.

I’ve been vigilant about cutting stocks that weren’t making moves they should have been, such as $MR, and taking profits into extended holdings like $VRX and $DLM.

Having been patient during this recent run and keeping a good deal of cash has helped.  I have the confidence that if the market pulls back here between 1 and 2 % as I believe it will, I’ll start adding to my positions further.  Joe Fahmy makes an excellent point when he says that you have to protect your confidence is market downturns, or markets going against your strategy in either direction.  This can be done in several ways, but for me, holding a little extra cash and fewer high beta names when the market isn’t quite right is how I like to operate.  Yes, the small Chinese issues have made huge moves the past few days, but in a market that hasn’t completely proven itself yet after a considerable smack, I’d rather sit those out in favor of less correlated names in the food service, education, and airline industries.

I still like big cap tech here, but the market needs to pull back and chop around for a few days to work off some short term overbought indicators.  Be patient and watch for a strong bid on the next sell off.  I’ll be looking to put all my chips on the table if that happens.

  • Excellent advice, Leigh. I'd like to add that Sabrient's quant models are also showing optimism, with the more economically sensitive sectors ranking the highest in our SectorCast model, including big cap tech (represented by IYW). By the way, I reviewed the stocks in your Trading Book, and I'm very impressed. All score quite highly in Sabrient's Ratings Algorithm, with mostly Buys. But most notably is that they all have high Growth Scores in the 80's and 90's (out of 100), with a few actually scoring 100. Good Momentum Scores, too. Those rated Strong Buy in our latest ratings run include CMG, CTRP, DV, and PCLN. Only SBAC rates a Sell for poor forward valuation, but it still sports a solid Growth Score of 87.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Web Analytics